[NCEP Logo] HOME ACTIVE
CYCLONES
FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT FRI SEP 24 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.5N  75.5W      27  X  X  X 27   FT PIERCE FL      31  X  X  X 31
MYAK 241N 776W     6  X  X  X  6   COCOA BEACH FL     2  X  X  X  2
MYNN 251N 775W    33  X  X  X 33   KEY WEST FL       26  X  X  X 26
MYGF 266N 787W    75  X  X  X 75   MARCO ISLAND FL   99  X  X  X 99
MARATHON FL       76  X  X  X 76   FT MYERS FL       99  X  X  X 99
MIAMI FL          99  X  X  X 99   VENICE FL          2  X  X  X  2
W PALM BEACH FL   99  X  X  X 99
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
NNNN


Problems?