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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON SEP 20 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU SEP 23 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.9N  82.2W      31  2  X  X 33   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
29.5N  79.0W       2 22  5  X 29   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  6  6
32.5N  74.0W       X  1 18  2 21   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  5  5
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  1  X  2   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  6  6
MYGF 266N 787W     1 12  3  X 16   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  6  6
BERMUDA            X  X  1  9 10   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  4  4
MARATHON FL        3  4  1  X  8   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
MIAMI FL           4 10  1  X 15   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
W PALM BEACH FL    6 14  1  1 22   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  2  2
FT PIERCE FL      11 15  1  X 27   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  3  3
COCOA BEACH FL    15 14  1  X 30   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL  16 12  2  X 30   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
JACKSONVILLE FL    7 13  3  1 24   KEY WEST FL        5  3  X  X  8
SAVANNAH GA        1  5  9  X 15   MARCO ISLAND FL   18  4  X  X 22
CHARLESTON SC      X  3 10  1 14   FT MYERS FL       25  3  X  X 28
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  1  9  3 13   VENICE FL         34  X  X  X 34
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  8  5 13   TAMPA FL          33  1  X  X 34
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  8  6 14   CEDAR KEY FL      25  2  X  1 28
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  6  8 14   ST MARKS FL        7  5  3  X 15
NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  9 10   APALACHICOLA FL    7  4  2  X 13
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  8  8   PANAMA CITY FL     1  3  1  X  5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  6  6   GULF 29N 85W      20  1  X  X 21
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
PASCH
 
 
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