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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 20 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU SEP 23 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.9N  83.3W      35  1  X  X 36   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  3  3
28.7N  81.0W      11 13  2  1 27   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  3  3
31.0N  77.0W       X  3 16  2 21   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  1  2   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4
MYNN 251N 775W     X  2  2  1  5   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     1 11  4  1 17   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
BERMUDA            X  X  X  8  8   KEY WEST FL        3  4  2  X  9
MARATHON FL        2  5  2  X  9   MARCO ISLAND FL   14  5  1  X 20
MIAMI FL           4  9  2  1 16   FT MYERS FL       21  3  X  X 24
W PALM BEACH FL    6 12  2  X 20   VENICE FL         29  1  X  X 30
FT PIERCE FL       8 14  2  X 24   TAMPA FL          28  2  X  X 30
COCOA BEACH FL    10 14  2  X 26   CEDAR KEY FL      20  4  1  X 25
DAYTONA BEACH FL   8 14  4  X 26   ST MARKS FL        8  6  4  X 18
JACKSONVILLE FL    2 12  7  X 21   APALACHICOLA FL   13  4  1  1 19
SAVANNAH GA        X  3 10  2 15   PANAMA CITY FL     7  5  3  X 15
CHARLESTON SC      X  1  9  4 14   PENSACOLA FL       1  2  3  X  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  6  7 13   MOBILE AL          X  1  1  1  3
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  4  9 13   GULFPORT MS        X  1  X  1  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3 10 13   BURAS LA           X  1  X  1  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  2 10 12   GULF 29N 85W      22  1  1  X 24
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  8  8   GULF 29N 87W       9  3  2  X 14
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 89W       1  2  1  X  4
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
PASCH
 
 
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