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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON SEP 20 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU SEP 23 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
26.8N  85.6W      33  X  X  X 33   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5
27.9N  83.4W      10 14  1  X 25   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  5  5
29.5N  80.0W       X  6 13  2 21   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  4  4
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  1  1  3   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  1  2  3   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  4  4
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  2  3  5   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  3  3
MYGF 266N 787W     X  1  8  4 13   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
BERMUDA            X  X  X  6  6   KEY WEST FL        X  3  5  1  9
MARATHON FL        X  2  5  2  9   MARCO ISLAND FL    1  9  6  X 16
MIAMI FL           X  3  8  2 13   FT MYERS FL        1 13  5  X 19
W PALM BEACH FL    X  4 10  2 16   VENICE FL          4 15  3  X 22
FT PIERCE FL       X  7 10  2 19   TAMPA FL           3 17  3  X 23
COCOA BEACH FL     X 10  9  2 21   CEDAR KEY FL       3 17  3  X 23
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X 12  9  1 22   ST MARKS FL        2 12  4  1 19
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  9 10  1 20   APALACHICOLA FL    5 11  3  X 19
SAVANNAH GA        X  2 11  4 17   PANAMA CITY FL     3 10  3  X 16
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  9  7 16   PENSACOLA FL       X  4  4  1  9
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  5 10 15   MOBILE AL          X  1  2  X  3
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  3 12 15   GULFPORT MS        X  1  1  X  2
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  2 12 14   BURAS LA           X  1  1  X  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1 13 14   GULF 29N 85W      12  9  1  X 22
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 11 11   GULF 29N 87W      10  5  1  X 16
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  9  9   GULF 28N 89W       6  3  1  X 10
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  7  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
BEVEN
 
 
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