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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN SEP 19 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT WED SEP 22 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
27.4N  86.8W      46  X  X  X 46   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  7  7
28.1N  85.2W      11 13  4  X 28   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  5  5
29.5N  82.5W       X  5 17  2 24   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  3  3
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  2  2   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  1  3  4   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  1  1  2   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   KEY WEST FL        X  1  3  5  9
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1  9  4 14
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  4  4   FT MYERS FL        X  3 10  4 17
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  6  6   VENICE FL          1  5 12  2 20
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1 10 11   TAMPA FL           X  6 15  1 22
MARATHON FL        X  X  3  6  9   CEDAR KEY FL       X  9 15  1 25
MIAMI FL           X  X  3  9 12   ST MARKS FL        X 12 12  1 25
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  4 10 14   APALACHICOLA FL    3 16  7  X 26
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  7  9 16   PANAMA CITY FL     3 16  5  X 24
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X 10  9 19   PENSACOLA FL       3 12  3  X 18
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  1 14  6 21   MOBILE AL          3  8  1  1 13
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  1 16  5 22   GULFPORT MS        4  5  1  1 11
SAVANNAH GA        X  X 11  9 20   BURAS LA           9  3  X  X 12
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  4 14 18   NEW ORLEANS LA     3  3  X  X  6
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  1 15 16   GULF 29N 85W       5 17  5  X 27
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X 15 15   GULF 29N 87W      16  8  1  X 25
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 14 14   GULF 28N 89W      23  1  X  X 24
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X 13 13   GULF 28N 91W       4  1  1  X  6
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 10 10
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
C FROM  1AM TUE TO  1PM TUE
D FROM  1PM TUE TO  1PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
JARVINEN
 
 
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