HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN SEP 19 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7AM CDT WED SEP 22 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.0N  86.5W      34  X  X  X 34   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X 10 10
28.5N  85.1W      17  4  2  X 23   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  9  9
29.2N  83.1W       1 11  5  2 19   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  8  8
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1  4  5   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  2  3  5   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  1  3  4  8   KEY WEST FL        X  1  6  4 11
MUAN 219N 850W     X  1  3  2  6   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  3  7  4 14
MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  1  2  3   FT MYERS FL        1  4  7  3 15
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  3  3   VENICE FL          2  7  5  3 17
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3   TAMPA FL           2  7  6  3 18
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  6  6   CEDAR KEY FL       2 10  5  2 19
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  7  7   ST MARKS FL        2 12  4  2 20
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  2  9 11   APALACHICOLA FL    8 10  2  1 21
MARATHON FL        X  1  4  6 11   PANAMA CITY FL     8 10  2  1 21
MIAMI FL           X  X  5  7 12   PENSACOLA FL       7  8  1  1 17
W PALM BEACH FL    X  1  5  7 13   MOBILE AL          5  6  1  X 12
FT PIERCE FL       X  1  7  6 14   GULFPORT MS        5  4  1  X 10
COCOA BEACH FL     X  2  7  6 15   BURAS LA           9  2  1  X 12
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  3  9  5 17   NEW ORLEANS LA     3  2  X  1  6
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  4  9  4 17   GULF 29N 85W      14  6  2  1 23
SAVANNAH GA        X  1  9  6 16   GULF 29N 87W      24  1  X  1 26
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  6  8 14   GULF 28N 89W      25  1  X  X 26
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  3 10 13   GULF 28N 91W       2  1  1  X  4
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  1 11 12
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7AM MON TO  7PM MON
C FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
D FROM  7AM TUE TO  7AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
JARVINEN
 
 
NNNN