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HURRICANE GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 15 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  50.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT SEP 18 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.5N  54.5W      53  X  X  X 53   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  1  7  8
19.2N  56.0W      17 16  X  X 33   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  4  4
20.5N  58.0W       X 13 11  2 26   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  4  4
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  X  2  2   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  1  3  4   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  4  4
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  2  4  6   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  4  4
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  2  6  8   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  2  2
TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  1  6  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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