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HURRICANE GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED SEP 15 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SAT SEP 18 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.5N  53.5W      53  X  X  X 53   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  2  2
19.5N  55.5W       5 26  X  X 31   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  3  3
20.5N  57.5W       X 14  9  1 24   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  2  2
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  1  2  3   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  2  2
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  1  4  5   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  3  3
TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  1  3  4   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  2  2
TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  1  5  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
C FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
D FROM  8AM FRI TO  8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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