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HURRICANE GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON SEP 13 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  42.7 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST THU SEP 16 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
17.1N  47.9W      44  1  X  X 45   TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X  9  9
17.5N  51.1W       X 28  1  X 29   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X 10 10
17.9N  53.9W       X  2 19  1 22   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X 10 10
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  X  2  2   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  8  8
TTPT 112N 608W     X  X  X  4  4   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  7  7
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  X  3  3   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  3  3
TBPB 131N 595W     X  X  X  9  9   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  3  3
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X  X  6  6   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  3  3
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X  X  7  7   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  3  3
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  X  9  9
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
C FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
D FROM  8PM WED TO  8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
JARVINEN
 
 
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