[NCEP Logo] HOME ACTIVE
CYCLONES
FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FLOYD PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 12 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FLOYD WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.9 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED SEP 15 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
23.4N  70.1W      53  X  X  X 53   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X 16 16
24.1N  72.6W       4 34  X  X 38   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X 14 14
25.0N  75.0W       X  9 18  1 28   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X 10 10
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  1  1  2   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  6  6
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  5  6   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  4  4
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  5  5   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X  2  2
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  5  5   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X 10 10
MBJT 215N 712W     7 11  X  1 19   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X 13 13
MYMM 224N 730W     1 21  1  X 23   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X 14 14
MYSM 241N 745W     X 17 11  X 28   VENICE FL          X  X  X 13 13
MYEG 235N 758W     X  3 17  1 21   TAMPA FL           X  X  X 13 13
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X 11  8 19   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X 11 11
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X 14  7 21   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  7  7
MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  4 16 20   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  6  6
MARATHON FL        X  X  X 12 12   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  5  5
MIAMI FL           X  X  1 15 16   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  1 16 17   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  7  7
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X 17 17   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
GUINEY
 
 
NNNN


Problems?