HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  46
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 04 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT TUE SEP  7 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
35.0N  76.5W      46  X  X  X 46   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  2  5  4 11
36.0N  77.0W      26  1  1  X 28   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  4  5  9
37.5N  77.5W       5  8  3  2 18   MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  2  5  7
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1  1  2   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  1  5  6
SAVANNAH GA        X  2  2  2  6   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  1  4  5
CHARLESTON SC      3  5  2  1 11   HYANNIS MA         X  X  1  4  5
MYRTLE BEACH SC   15  3  X  1 19   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
WILMINGTON NC     31  X  X  X 31   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  3  3
MOREHEAD CITY NC  48  X  X  X 48   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC  40  X  X  X 40   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
NORFOLK VA        13  4  2  1 20   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
OCEAN CITY MD      1  6  4  3 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
NNNN