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HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT AUG 28 1999
...CORRECTED ADVISORY NUMBER TO 20
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.6 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE AUG 31 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.8N  78.5W      44  X  X  X 44   WILMINGTON NC      1  5  5  6 17
31.0N  78.7W      30  1  1  X 32   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  2  5  7 14
32.0N  78.5W      18  4  2  1 25   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  3  8 11
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  1  9 10
MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6
MYAK 241N 776W     X  X  X  4  4   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4
MYNN 251N 775W     X  1  1  4  6   NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W    11  1  1  2 15   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3
MARATHON FL        X  X  X  4  4   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1  X  5  6
MIAMI FL           1  1  1  4  7   FT MYERS FL        X  1  1  5  7
W PALM BEACH FL    6  2  1  3 12   VENICE FL          X  1  1  5  7
FT PIERCE FL      11  2  1  2 16   TAMPA FL           1  2  1  5  9
COCOA BEACH FL    13  3  X  2 18   CEDAR KEY FL       X  3  2  5 10
DAYTONA BEACH FL  11  5  1  2 19   ST MARKS FL        X  1  2  5  8
JACKSONVILLE FL    4  9  3  2 18   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  4  5
SAVANNAH GA        3 11  3  3 20   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  1  3  4
CHARLESTON SC      4 11  3  3 21   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    2  9  4  4 19   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  3  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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