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TROPICAL STORM DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST TUE AUG 24 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  71.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST FRI AUG 27 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
24.7N  74.0W      59  X  X  X 59   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  1 12 13
25.7N  75.5W      20 14  X  1 35   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1 12 13
27.5N  77.0W       X 16 13  1 30   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1 12 13
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  1  1  2   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  X 11 11
MBJT 215N 712W     2  X  X  1  3   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  X  8  8
MYMM 224N 730W    48  X  X  X 48   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  6  6
MYSM 241N 745W    44  X  X  X 44   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3
MYEG 235N 758W    13  8  1  1 23   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3
MYAK 241N 776W     X 12  5  1 18   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  2  5  7
MYNN 251N 775W     1 16  6  1 24   FT MYERS FL        X  X  2  6  8
MYGF 266N 787W     X  5 15  2 22   VENICE FL          X  X  1  6  7
MARATHON FL        X  X  1  4  5   TAMPA FL           X  X  1  8  9
MIAMI FL           X  X  7  5 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  9  9
W PALM BEACH FL    X  X 10  5 15   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  6  6
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  9  7 16   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  3  3
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  8  8 16   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  X  2  2
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  4 11 15   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  3  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
C FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
D FROM  2PM THU TO  2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
AVILA
 
 
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