[NCEP Logo] HOME ACTIVE
CYCLONES
FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE BRET PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT AUG 21 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.1 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT TUE AUG 24 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
25.7N  96.5W      43  X  1  X 44   FREEPORT TX        3  4  2  2 11
26.0N  97.5W      24  2  1  1 28   PORT O CONNOR TX  11  7  1  1 20
25.8N  98.3W      12  6  3  2 23   CORPUSCHRISTI TX  15 10  1  1 27
MMSO 238N 982W     2  5  7  3 17   BROWNSVILLE TX    25  2  1  1 29
MMTM 222N 979W     X  1  6  6 13   GULF 28N 93W       1  X  X  2  3
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  4  6 10   GULF 28N 95W      10  3  1  1 15
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  1  4  5   GULF 27N 96W      30  1  X  1 32
PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  4  4   GULF 25N 96W      65  X  X  X 65
GALVESTON TX       1  2  1  3  7
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM SUN TO  1AM MON
C FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
D FROM  1PM MON TO  1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN


Problems?