[NCEP Logo] HOME ACTIVE
CYCLONES
FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ARLENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE JUN 15 1999
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI JUN 18 1999
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
31.1N  63.5W      50  X  X  X 50   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  6  6
32.2N  63.9W      31  3  X  X 34   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  6  6
33.5N  64.5W       7 13  2  1 23   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  6  6
BERMUDA           22  8  X  1 31   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  5  5
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  4  4
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  3  3
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  3  3
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  4  4   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  2  2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  4  4   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  4  4
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  5  5   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  2  2
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  6  6   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
LAWRENCE
 
 
NNNN


Problems?