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TROPICAL STORM LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
0300Z SAT NOV 20 1999
 
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...
AND BARBUDA.  ELSEWHERE IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...ALL WARNINGS HAVE
BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  61.8W AT 20/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST SOUTHEAST OR 120 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT....... 60NE 100SE  60SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 300SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  61.8W AT 20/0300Z
AT 20/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N  61.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.9N  61.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE 100SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 17.1N  60.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 60NE 100SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 18.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT... 60NE 100SE  60SW  60NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N  61.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 22.5N  56.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/0900Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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