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HURRICANE LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
0300Z FRI NOV 19 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DUTCH ST. MAARTEN...
FRENCH ST. MARTIN...ST.BARTHELEMEY...ANGUILLA...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS ...ST.KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT ...ANTIGUA...AND
BARBUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  63.1W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT....... 75NE 125SE  90SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 300SE 300SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.2N  63.1W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  63.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 18.3N  62.8W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE 125SE  90SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 18.7N  62.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE 125SE  90SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 19.4N  61.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE 125SE  90SW  60NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.2N  63.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 20.5N  60.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 23.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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