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TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
1500Z WED NOV 17 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR DUTCH ST. MAARTEN...FRENCH ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMEY...
ANGUILLA...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...
ANTIGUA...AND BARBUDA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  65.1W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  942 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
50 KT....... 90NE  75SE  75SW  40NW
34 KT.......125NE 150SE 125SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 200SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N  65.1W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.8N  65.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 17.8N  64.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  40NW
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 19.0N  62.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  40NW
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 20.3N  61.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  40NW
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N  65.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 22.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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