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HURRICANE LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
0900Z WED NOV 17 1999
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR DUTCH ST. MAARTEN...FRENCH ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMEY...
ANGUILLA...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...
ANTIGUA...AND BARBUDA.
 
THE FRENCH GOVVERNMENT MAY ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH OR WARNING LATER
TODAY FOR THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS UNDER THEIR RESPONSIBILITY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  66.0W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST OR  65 DEGREES AT 12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  950 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT
64 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
50 KT....... 90NE  75SE  75SW  40NW
34 KT.......125NE 150SE 125SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 200SW 100NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.7N  66.0W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  66.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 17.7N  64.4W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  40NW
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 19.2N  62.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  40NW
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 20.6N  60.8W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  25NW
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  40NW
34 KT...125NE 150SE 125SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.7N  66.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 21.5N  59.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 23.5N  57.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  60SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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