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HURRICANE LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
0900Z MON NOV 15 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
HAITI. THE WARNING AND WATCH FOR JAMAICA MAY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE AND/OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER
TODAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  77.1W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  95 DEGREES AT  8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT
64 KT....... 15NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT....... 25NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT....... 40NE  60SE  60SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 150SE 100SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N  77.1W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  77.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 15.4N  76.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 15.6N  74.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 16.2N  71.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N  77.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 17.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 19.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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