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TROPICAL STORM LENNY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1699
2100Z SUN NOV 14 1999
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA IS ISSUING A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FOR JAMAICA.  TROPICAL
STORM OR HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF HAITI IN ABOUT 36 HOURS...OR EARLY TUESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  78.9W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT  5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT
50 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  78.9W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N  79.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.5N  78.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N  76.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 16.6N  74.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N  78.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.0N  71.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 19.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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