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TROPICAL DEPRESSION KATRINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1599
1500Z SUN OCT 31 1999

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST
FLORIDA COAST LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN
FLORIDA..AND THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  88.2W AT 31/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N  88.2W AT 31/1500Z
AT 31/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.0N  88.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.6N  88.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 25.0N  87.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 28.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  25SW  25NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N  88.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 31.0N  79.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 37.0N  70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/2100Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
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