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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1499
0300Z TUE OCT 19 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES
HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR ST. EUSTATIUS...SABA AND ST.
MAARTEN.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR ST. BARTHELEMY AND ST. MARTIN.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE LESSER ANTILLES
SOUTHWARD TO THE GRENADINES.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GRENADA.
 
INTERESTS IN THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO...SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF JOSE.  WATCHES MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR THESE ISLANDS ON TUESDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  56.7W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT....... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  56.7W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N  56.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 13.9N  58.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.1N  60.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.2N  62.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N  56.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0000Z 17.3N  64.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z 19.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
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