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HURRICANE IRENE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1399
1200Z FRI OCT 15 1999
 
AT 8 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BIMINI...GRAND BAHAMA...AND ABACO ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS...INCLUDING ALL OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
FLORIDA CITY TO SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND
FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM NORTH OF THE ANCLOTE KEYS TO YANKEETOWN.
 
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  82.0W AT 15/1200Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT....... 80NE  50SE   0SW  45NW
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.3N  82.0W AT 15/1200Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  82.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 25.1N  82.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW
50 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  45NW
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 26.5N  82.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE   0SW  20NW
50 KT... 80NE  50SE   0SW  45NW
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  60NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 28.2N  82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  25NW
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.3N  82.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 30.5N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 35.5N  79.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
FRANKLIN/BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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