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HURRICANE GERT FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0999
2100Z MON SEP 13 1999
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  41.6W AT 13/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE   0SW  25NW
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  25SW  50NW
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  41.6W AT 13/2100Z
AT 13/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N  40.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.0N  44.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.0N  47.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 16.3N  50.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N  41.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 16.5N  53.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 17.5N  58.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT
50 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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