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TROPICAL STORM EMILY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0699
2100Z TUE AUG 24 1999
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  54.0W AT 24/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT NEARLY STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT
50 KT....... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  54.0W AT 24/2100Z
AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.8N  54.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 12.2N  54.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW   0NW
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 12.7N  55.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 13.5N  57.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.9N  54.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 14.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 16.0N  61.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0300Z
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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