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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0199
1500Z WED JUN 16 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  62.4W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.2N  62.4W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.9N  62.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 32.0N  62.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 33.4N  63.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 35.1N  63.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.2N  62.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 37.5N  63.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 43.0N  60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
FRANKLIN/JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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