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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0199
0300Z WED JUN 16 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  62.0W AT 16/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT
50 KT.......100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT.......125NE  50SE  50SW  75NW
12 FT SEAS..150NE 100SE 100SW 150NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  62.0W AT 16/0300Z
AT 16/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.0N  61.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1200Z 30.4N  62.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW   0NW
34 KT...125NE  50SE  50SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 31.1N  63.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT
50 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW 100NW
34 KT...125NE  50SE  50SW 125NW
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 32.2N  63.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...125NE  50SE  50SW 125NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  62.0W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 33.5N  64.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 38.0N  64.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0900Z
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
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