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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0199
0900Z TUE JUN 15 1999
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  61.7W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1012 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
12 FT SEAS..175NE 175SE 125SW 125NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N  61.7W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  61.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 29.9N  62.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT
34 KT...100NE 100SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 30.4N  63.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.4N  64.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
34 KT...100NE 100SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N  61.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 33.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 36.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
BEVEN/GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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