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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL0199
0900Z SUN JUN 13 1999

...CORRECTION FOR INITIAL INTENSITY...
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  57.4W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT
50 KT....... 40NE  20SE  20SW  20NW
34 KT.......100NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
12 FT SEAS..125NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.1N  57.4W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.0N  57.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 29.3N  57.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  30NW
34 KT...100NE  75SE  50SW  50NW
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 29.6N  57.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 30.0N  57.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  75NW
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.1N  57.4W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 30.4N  58.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 31.0N  59.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
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