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TROPICAL STORM HILARY DISCUSSION NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM PDT TUE SEP 21 1999
 
HILARY REMAINS A TIGHT SWIRL OF LOW CLOUDS WITH A SMALL AREA OF
DISSIPATING CONVECTION NORTH OF THE CENTER.  IT IS MOVING TOWARD
NORTH NORTHWEST...345 DEGREES...AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS OVER INCREASINGLY
COOL WATERS.  FURTHER WEAKENING IS EXPECTED BUT SOME SMALL CLUSTERS
OF CONVECTION MAY OCCUR BEFORE THE FORECAST SYSTEM DISSIPATION IN
ABOUT 36 HOURS.
 
JARVINEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     21/0900Z 24.7N 114.9W    35 KTS
12HR VT     21/1800Z 25.6N 115.3W    30 KTS
24HR VT     22/0600Z 26.4N 116.2W    25 KTS
36HR VT     22/1800Z 27.4N 117.2W    20 KTS...DISSIPATING
 
 
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