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FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

WTPA43 PHNL 142100
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE DISCUSSION NUMBER  34
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
11 AM HST SAT AUG 14 1999
 
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A POORLY DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER. IMAGERY ANIMATION SUGGESTS A CONTINUED WESTWARD TRACK.
ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE OVER WARMER WATERS...
STRENGTHENING IS NOT LIKELY AS IT MOVES INTO AN AREA OF UPPER LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS. 
 
INITIAL MOTION IS 260/15. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND THE
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
HABLUTZEL.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     14/2100Z 13.7N 157.2W    35 KTS
12HR VT     15/0600Z 13.4N 159.4W    35 KTS
24HR VT     15/1800Z 13.1N 162.5W    30 KTS
36HR VT     16/0600Z 13.1N 165.5W    30 KTS
48HR VT     16/1800Z 13.5N 168.5W    25 KTS
72HR VT     17/1800Z 14.0N 174.0W    25 KTS
  

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