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FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

WTPA43 PHNL 132100
TROPICAL STORM EUGENE DISCUSSION NUMBER  30
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
11 AM HST FRI AUG 13 1999
 
MODELS ARE CONSISTENT IN CONTINUING EUGENE ON A WESTERLY TRACK.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A SHEAR PATTERN AND A PARTLY EXPOSED LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION. LATEST RECONNAISSANCE FIX FROM THE AIR FORCE
RESERVES CONFIRM THE WESTWARD TRACK.

INITIAL MOTION IS 275/14...INDICATING AN SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD
MOTION. THE FORECAST TRACK IS ESSENTIALLY THE SAME AS THE PREVIOUS
ADVISORY WITH POSITION ADJUSTMENTS MADE FOR THE INCREASED FORWARD
MOTION. HABLUTZEL
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     13/2100Z 15.0N 151.5W    50 KTS
12HR VT     14/0600Z 15.2N 153.7W    45 KTS
24HR VT     14/1800Z 15.3N 156.5W    45 KTS
36HR VT     15/0600Z 15.5N 159.5W    40 KTS
48HR VT     15/1800Z 15.5N 162.5W    35 KTS
72HR VT     16/1800Z 15.5N 168.5W    35 KTS



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