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WTPA42 PHNL 160900
HURRICANE DORA DISCUSSION NUMBER  42
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
11 PM HST SUN AUG 15 1999
 
THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY AND MOTION DURING THE PAST
TWELVE HOURS. HAVE MADE THE MAX WINDS AN EVEN 100 KT AS SUPPORTED BY
RECCE AND SATELLITE ESTIMATES. WILL GRADUALLY BRING WINDS BACK DOWN
AS DORA LIKELY IS PEAKING AT THIS TIME. DORA IS PASSING SOUTH OF
SOUTH POINT HAWAII AT THIS TIME WITH LITTLE EFFECT ON ISLANDS
WEATHER EXCEPT FOR ENHANCED TRADES AND SOME HIGH SURF ALONG THE BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST FACING SHORES. TRACK WILL POINT A LITTLE NORTH OF
JOHNSTON ATOLL AND ON TOWARD THE DATELINE.

INITIAL MOTION IS 275/16. THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND
CONTINUE TO BE TIGHTLY GROUPED. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS IN THE
MIDDLE OF THE MODEL TRACKS.
 
ROSENDAL
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     16/0900Z 15.9N 156.6W   100 KTS
12HR VT     16/1800Z 16.3N 158.9W    95 KTS
24HR VT     17/0600Z 16.9N 162.4W    90 KTS
36HR VT     17/1800Z 17.4N 165.6W    85 KTS
48HR VT     18/0600Z 18.0N 169.0W    80 KTS
72HR VT     19/0600Z 19.0N 175.5W    70 KTS