HOME |
ACTIVE CYCLONES |
FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT TPC | RECONNAISSANCE |
---|
ZCZC MIATCDEP2 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE BEATRIZ DISCUSSION NUMBER 26 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT THU JUL 15 1999 BEATRIZ CONTINUES MOVING 300/9. THE EYE HAS DIMINISHERD TO A SMALL WARM SPOT IN INFRARED IMAGERY...INDICATING THAT COLDER SSTS ARE FINALLY TAKING A TOLL ON THE CYCLONE. THE INTENSITY IS SET TO 75 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY. THE TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST PHILOSOPHIES ARE LITTLE CHANGED FROM THE LAST THREE PACKAGES. BEATRIZ WILL MAKE A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST AS IT WEAKENS AND LOW-LEVEL STEERING BECOME DOMINANT. WITH 22C-23C SSTS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK...THE SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE DISSIPATING BY 72 HOURS. BEVEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/1500Z 18.9N 129.2W 75 KTS 12HR VT 16/0000Z 19.6N 130.5W 70 KTS 24HR VT 16/1200Z 20.1N 132.2W 55 KTS 36HR VT 17/0000Z 20.4N 133.9W 40 KTS 48HR VT 17/1200Z 20.5N 135.5W 30 KTS 72HR VT 18/1200Z 20.5N 138.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING NNNN