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TROPICAL STORM HARVEY DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 21 1999
 
HARVEY HAS CONTINUED TO LOOSE ITS IDENTITY THIS EVENING AS IT
BECOMES ABSORBED BY THE CIRCULATION OF THE EXTRATROPICAL LOW LOCATED
ABOUT 135 NMI SOUTHEAST OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. THE CENTER OF
HARVEY IS VERY DIFFICULT TO LOCATE...IF THERE IS A DISTINCT ONE LEFT
TO FIND...IN EITHER SATELLITE IMAGERY OR SURFACE DATA.  THE BEST
ESTIMATE BASED ON CONTINUITY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS PUTS A CENTER
JUST NORTH OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE
IS 065/27 KT.  THE SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO ACCELERATION EAST-
NORTHEAST AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
 
THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS REDUCED TO 35 KT WITH THE TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS MAINLY IN THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT OF THE SYSTEM. HARVEY
WILL BE OFFICIALLY DECLARED EXTRATROPICAL BY 12 HRS.
 
EFFECTIVE 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS WILL
DISCONTINUE THE TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND
AND THE ABACOS.
 
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON HARVEY.  FURTHER INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND
IN THE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE TROPICAL PREDICTION CENTER/
MARINE PREDICTION CENTER UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT01 AND UNDER AFOS
HEADER NFDHSFAT1.
 
GUINEY
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     22/0300Z 27.5N  77.2W    35 KTS
12HR VT     22/1200Z 29.5N  73.0W    35 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT     23/0000Z...EXTRATROPICAL
 
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