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TROPICAL STORM FLOYD DISCUSSION NUMBER  38
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU SEP 16 1999

THE SYSTEM IS STARTING TO LOOK NON-TROPICAL...WITH AN ASYMMETRICAL
APPEARANCE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. AND STRONG WINDS WELL AWAY FROM THE
CENTER.  FLOYD IS EXPECTED TO BECOME EXTRATROPICAL IN 12 HOURS OR
SO.

THE STORM IS ACCELERATING AND INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 040/30. 
OBJECTIVE GUIDANCE SHOWS AN EASTWARD BEND WITH TIME WHICH IS
CONSISTENT WITH THE MORE ZONALLY-ORIENTED STEERING FLOW BETWEEN 45N-
50N.  THE CURRENT OFFICIAL FORECAST IS MORE OR LESS ALONG THE SAME
TRAJECTORY AS THE PREVIOUS ONE...BUT A LITTLE FASTER BECAUSE OF THE
INCREASED INITIAL SPEED OF MOTION.

THERE IS STILL SOME THREAT FROM HEAVY RAINS BUT SINCE FLOYD IS NOW
MOVING SO SWIFTLY...IT WILL NOT BE ABLE TO DROP MUCH ADDITIONAL RAIN
IN ANY ONE PLACE.

TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE MAINTAINED AROUND THE NEW ENGLAND AREA
AT THIS TIME.  FARTHER NORTH...SINCE THE SYSTEM SHOULD BE
EXTRATROPICAL VERY SOON...GALE WARNINGS ARE ISSUED.

PASCH

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     17/0300Z 41.7N  72.2W    50 KTS
12HR VT     17/1200Z 45.0N  68.0W    45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT     18/0000Z 48.0N  60.0W    45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT     18/1200Z 49.5N  52.0W    45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT     19/0000Z 50.0N  44.0W    45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT     20/0000Z 50.0N  28.0W    45 KTS...EXTRATROPICAL
 
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