HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON SEP 06 1999
 
BROWNSVILLE WSR-88 DATA INDICATES THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
SEVEN HAS MOVED INLAND OVER NORTHEAST MEXICO...ALTHOUGH MUCH OF THE
CIRCULATION REMAINS OVER WATER. THE CENTER HAS BEEN MOVING 320/9 FOR
THE PAST 12 HOURS...AND A SLOWER NORTHWESTERLY MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE UNTIL THE CYCLONE DISSIPATES IN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
THE SATELLITE AND RADAR APPEARANCE SUGGESTS THE DEPRESSION WAS CLOSE
TO TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AT LANDFALL...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE NO
OBSERVATIONS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. THE LANDFALL ENDS THE
CHANCE OF STRENGTHENING...SO THE FOCUS NOW SHIFTS TO HEAVY RAINFALL.
THE BROWNSVILLE RADAR SHOWS A LARGE RAIN SHIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THE
CYCLONE...AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES A LARGE BAND STILL OVER
THE GULF EAST OF THE CENTER. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS ARE LIKELY OVER
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTH TEXAS. THESE COULD
CONTINUED EVEN AFTER THE SYSTEM OFFICIALLY DISSIPATES.

BEVEN
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL     06/1500Z 23.8N  98.3W    30 KTS
12HR VT     07/0000Z 24.7N  99.1W    25 KTS...INLAND
24HR VT     07/1200Z 25.6N 100.0W    25 KTS...DISSIPATING
36HR VT     08/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
 
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