ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 ...FLOOD THREAT FOR SOUTHERN MEXICO AND GUATEMALA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SIPICATE GUATEMALA TO PUERTO ARISTA MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. IN ADDITION...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS ADVISING INTERESTS FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.0 WEST OR ABOUT 130 MILES...210 KM...SOUTH OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH... 11 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE LOCATED JUST OFFSHORE AND WHEN THEY SPREAD INLAND THEY COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...13.0 N... 93.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT. GUINEY NNNN