ZCZC MIATCPEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM PDT THU OCT 15 1998 ...RAINFALL AND FLOOD THREAT DEVELOPING FOR SOUTHWEST MEXICO AND GUATEMALA... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SIPACATE GUATEMALA TO PUERTO ARISTA MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS ALSO ADVISING INTERESTS FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.3 WEST OR ABOUT 140 MILES...220 KM...SOUTH OF TAPACHULA MEXICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR. A NORTHWEST OR NORTH-NORTHWEST MOTION AT THIS SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION WILL BE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD ACROSS THE COAST DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS...AND COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM PDT POSITION...12.8 N... 92.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM PDT. RAPPAPORT NNNN