ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE EARL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 4 PM CDT WED SEP 02 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT SAT SEP 5 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 31.5N 84.5W 33 X 1 X 34 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 3 3 32.5N 83.5W 20 2 1 X 23 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2 34.0N 81.5W 2 10 4 2 18 HYANNIS MA X X X 2 2 MYGF 266N 787W X X 1 2 3 BOSTON MA X X X 2 2 MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL X X 1 1 2 MIAMI FL X X 1 2 3 MARCO ISLAND FL X 1 1 3 5 W PALM BEACH FL X X 2 3 5 FT MYERS FL X 2 2 3 7 FT PIERCE FL X 1 3 4 8 VENICE FL 1 3 3 2 9 COCOA BEACH FL X 3 4 3 10 TAMPA FL 3 5 3 2 13 DAYTONA BEACH FL 2 6 4 2 14 CEDAR KEY FL 15 2 1 1 19 JACKSONVILLE FL 10 6 2 1 19 ST MARKS FL 38 X X 1 39 SAVANNAH GA 6 9 3 2 20 APALACHICOLA FL 52 X X X 52 CHARLESTON SC 1 8 6 3 18 PANAMA CITY FL 61 X X X 61 MYRTLE BEACH SC X 5 8 3 16 PENSACOLA FL 45 X X X 45 WILMINGTON NC X 2 8 5 15 MOBILE AL 7 1 1 1 10 MOREHEAD CITY NC X 1 6 6 13 GULFPORT MS 2 1 1 2 6 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 4 7 11 BURAS LA X 1 1 2 4 NORFOLK VA X X 4 7 11 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 1 1 2 OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 7 9 GULF 29N 85W 45 X X X 45 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 6 7 GULF 29N 87W 99 X X X 99 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 89W 1 X 1 2 4 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 3 3 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM THU FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 1PM THU TO 1AM FRI C FROM 1AM FRI TO 1PM FRI D FROM 1PM FRI TO 1PM SAT E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SAT X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT AVILA NNNN