ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM ALEX PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 PM AST FRI JUL 31 1998 PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ALEX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 52.1 WEST CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST MON AUG 3 1998 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 16.9N 56.6W 56 X X X 56 TIST 183N 650W X X 9 7 16 17.9N 59.4W 1 32 1 X 34 TJPS 180N 666W X X 2 9 11 19.2N 61.6W X 11 12 1 24 MDSD 185N 697W X X X 5 5 TLPL 138N 610W X 1 2 X 3 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 4 9 13 TFFF 146N 610W X 4 4 X 8 MDPP 198N 707W X X X 5 5 TDPR 153N 614W X 7 5 X 12 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 5 5 TFFR 163N 615W X 12 6 X 18 ST CROIX VI X X 9 5 14 TAPA 171N 618W X 12 8 1 21 ST THOMAS VI X X 9 7 16 TKPK 173N 627W X 5 12 2 19 SAN JUAN PR X X 4 9 13 TNCM 181N 631W X 3 15 2 20 PONCE PR X X 2 9 11 TISX 177N 648W X X 9 5 14 COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT RAPPAPORT NNNN