ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM MADELINE SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1598 1800Z MON OCT 19 1998 AT 11 AM PDT...1800Z... THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DOWNGRADED THE HURRICANE WARNING/WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING/WATCH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT NORTH OF SAN BLAS TO EL DORADO MEXICO INCLUDING THE ISLAS MARIAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM NORTHWEST OF EL DORADO TO LOS MOCHIS...AND ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ SOUTHWARD. TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 107.0W AT 19/1800Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 990 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT 50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 50SW 50NW 12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 107.0W AT 19/1800Z AT 19/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 106.7W FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 23.0N 106.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 35NE 35SE 35SW 35NW 34 KT... 75NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 23.9N 107.1W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 75SE 75SW 75NW FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 25.0N 107.1W...INLAND MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.5N 107.0W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 26.0N 107.0W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 27.5N 106.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/2100Z GUINEY NNNN