ZCZC MIATCMEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL EP1498 2100Z THU OCT 15 1998 A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SIPICATE GUATEMALA TO PUERTO ARISTA MEXICO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF PUERTO ARISTA TO PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO. IN ADDITION...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO IS ADVISING INTERESTS FROM PUERTO ANGEL TO ZIHUATANEJO TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 92.5W AT 15/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT ALL QUADRANT RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 92.5W AT 15/2100Z AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 92.3W FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 13.6N 93.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT 34 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 14.3N 93.7W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT 34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.2N 94.7W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT 50 KT... 25NE 25SE 25SW 25NW 34 KT... 75NE 45SE 30SW 45NW REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 92.5W EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 16.0N 95.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 30SW 30NW OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z 17.5N 97.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z RAPPAPORT NNNN