ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 45 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 PM PST SUN OCT 25 1998 DEEP CONVECTION IS MOSTLY GONE...AND...ALTHOUGH IT MAY INTERMITTENTLY RE-APPEAR NEAR THE CENTER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...LESTER IS ON A WEAKENING TREND. CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE IS 30 KNOTS...SO THE SYSTEM IS DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION. LESTER SHOULD BE DISSIPATING IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...OR LESS. INITIAL MOTION IS 300/05. THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK IS A LITTLE TO THE WEST OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. THIS IS IN THE GENERAL DIRECTION OF THE MEDIUM/SHALLOW LAYER STEERING MODELS...BUT NEARLY SO FAST. PASCH FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 17.5N 115.5W 30 KTS 12HR VT 26/1200Z 18.0N 116.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 27/0000Z 18.5N 116.5W 30 KTS 36HR VT 27/1200Z 19.2N 116.8W 25 KTS 48HR VT 28/0000Z 20.0N 117.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 29/0000Z 21.0N 117.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING NNNN