ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM LESTER DISCUSSION NUMBER 41 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT OCT 24 1998 THE LOW LEVEL CLOUD CIRCULATION CENTER BECAME EXPOSED FOR SEVERAL HOURS THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...A NEW CDO FEATURE IS BEING CREATED WITH A NEW BURSTING PATTERN. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 310/09. THE SYSTEM SEEMS TO BE FOLLOWING FORECAST AND THIS MAY BE THE BEGINNING OF RECUVATURE TO NORTH. GUIDANCE REMAINS MOSTLY UNCHANGED SINCE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. MOST MODELS SHOW A SLOW NORTHWARD COMPONENT OF MOTION THROUGH 72 HOURS EXCEPT THE LBAR AND DEEP BAM WHICH ACCELERATE THE STORM NORTHEASTWARD AFTER 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO AND AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY. DVORAK ESTIMATES REMAIN AT 35 KNOTS...HOWEVER...THE BURSTING CDO PATTERN INDICATES THAT WINDS COULD BE STRONGER. THE OFFICIAL WIND SPEED IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AT 40 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. JARVINEN FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 25/0300Z 16.4N 113.4W 40 KTS 12HR VT 25/1200Z 17.2N 114.4W 40 KTS 24HR VT 26/0000Z 18.5N 114.7W 40 KTS 36HR VT 26/1200Z 19.9N 114.0W 40 KTS 48HR VT 27/0000Z 21.0N 112.8W 40 KTS 72HR VT 28/0000Z 23.1N 109.9W 40 KTS NNNN