ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE DARBY DISCUSSION NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 PM PDT SAT JUL 25 1998 DARBY BEGAN TO WEAKEN AS INDICATED BY T-NUMBERS. THE EYE IS NOT LONGER DEPICTED BUT IT MAY COME BACK TEMPORARILY AND CONVECTION IS DIMINISHING. INITIAL INTENSITY HAS BEEN ADJUSTED TO 90 KNOTS AND A GRADUAL DECREASE IN INTENSITY IS FORECAST SINCE DARBY WILL OVER 25 DEGREE WATERS IN A DAY OR SO. INITIAL MOTION IS 285/11. DARBY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON THIS GENERAL TRACK AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM. THIS IS CONSISTENT WITH MOST OF THE MODELS EXCEPT UK AND AVN WHICH MOVE DARBY WEST AND SOUTHWEST RESPECTIVELY. AVILA FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 26/0300Z 16.2N 123.1W 90 KTS 12HR VT 26/1200Z 16.5N 124.8W 80 KTS 24HR VT 27/0000Z 17.3N 127.5W 70 KTS 36HR VT 27/1200Z 18.0N 130.0W 60 KTS 48HR VT 28/0000Z 19.0N 132.5W 50 KTS 72HR VT 29/0000Z 21.0N 137.5W 40 KTS NNNN