ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL STORM AGATHA DISCUSSION NUMBER 17 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM PDT MON JUN 15 1998 THE STORM IS MAINLY A SWIRL OF LOWER CLOUDS AND DISSIPATION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 295/07. THE GFDL...UKMET AND LBAR DISSIPATE THE STORM BEFORE 72 HOURS. THE MODELS REMAIN HIGHLY DIVERGENT AND THE OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS FOR A SLOW A MOSTLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT UNTIL DISSIPATION. LAWRENCE FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 15/1500Z 19.6N 122.1W 35 KTS 12HR VT 16/0000Z 19.9N 123.0W 30 KTS 24HR VT 16/1200Z 20.4N 124.0W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 36HR VT 17/0000Z 20.7N 124.7W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 48HR VT 17/1200Z 20.9N 125.3W 25 KTS...DISSIPATING 72HR VT 18/1200Z 21.2N 126.0W 20 KTS...DISSIPATING NNNN