Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Probabilities (2 - 25 feet)

Contents

1. Overview
2. Product Description
3. Methodology
4. Availability
5. Examples
6. Feedback and Comments

2. Product Description

The Tropical Cyclone Storm Surge Probabilities graphics show the overall chances that the specified storm surge height will occur at each individual location on the map during the forecast period indicated. The probabilities are based on errors during recent years in the official track and intensity forecasts issued by the NHC. Variability in storm size is also incorporated. Storm surge values used in the calculations are produced by the Sea, Lake, and Overland Surges from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model; details on that model are available via: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ssurge/ssurge_slosh.shtml.

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