2011 Changes to References for Kilometers per Hour (KM/H)
Beginning with the 2011 season, the Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory (TCP) issued by NHC, CPHC, and WFO Guam will use
a different abbreviation for kilometers per hour. It will change from KM/HR to KM/H. This change will also occur in the
Tropical Cyclone Update (TCU) (when the summary section is included), and in the Tropical Cyclone Surface Wind Speed
Probabilities (TCSWSP) products issued by NHC and CPHC. Also, in the TCSWSP, the abbreviation of kilometers per hour in
table II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS will change from KPH to KM/H.
Affected Products
| Product Name |
WMO Header |
AWIPS IDs |
| Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory |
WTNT31-15 KNHC (Atlantic)
WTPZ31-35 KNHC (Eastern Pacific)
WTCA41-45 TJSJ (Spanish)
WTPA31-35 PHFO (Central Pacific)
WTPQ31-35 PGUM (western N. Pacific) |
TCPAT1-5
TCPEP1-5
TCPSP1-5
TCPCP1-5
TCPPQ1-5 |
| Tropical Cyclone Update |
WTNT61-65 KNHC (Atlantic)
WTPZ61-65 KNHC (Eastern Pacific)
WTPA61-65 PHFO (Central Pacific)
|
TCUAT1-5
TCUEP1-5
TCUCP1-5
|
| Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed Probabilities |
FONT11-15 KNHC (Atlantic)
FOPZ11-15 KNHC (Eastern Pacific)
FOPA11-15 PHFO (Central Pacific)
|
PWSAT1-5
PWSEP1-5
PWSCP1-5
|
Old Public Advisory (TCP) format
000
WTNT33 KNHC 141436
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PAULA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182010
1100 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010
...PAULA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...ADDITIONAL WEAKENING
ANTICIPATED AS THE STORM HUGS THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.8N 84.1W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM WSW OF HAVANA CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAULA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST. PAULA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/HR...BUT A TURN
TO THE EAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...PAULA WILL
CONTINUE TO HUG THE NORTH COAST OF WESTERN CUBA OR MOVE INLAND OVER
CUBA TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND PAULA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ON FRIDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS SHOULD BE SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN
CUBA TODAY PRIMARILY ALONG THE NORTH COAST. WINDS COULD BEGIN TO
INCREASE OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS LATE TODAY.
RAINFALL...PAULA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH PAULA. THESE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 1 INCH ARE POSSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA
KEYS.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE NORTH COAST OF EXTREME WESTERN CUBA.
THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
New Public Advisory (TCP) format
000
WTNT33 KNHC 141436
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM PAULA ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182010
1100 AM EDT THU OCT 14 2010
...PAULA WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...ADDITIONAL WEAKENING
ANTICIPATED AS THE STORM HUGS THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...22.8N 84.1W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM WSW OF HAVANA CUBA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 70 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
NONE.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PAULA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.1 WEST. PAULA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H...BUT A TURN
TO THE EAST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...PAULA WILL
CONTINUE TO HUG THE NORTH COAST OF WESTERN CUBA OR MOVE INLAND OVER
CUBA TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND PAULA COULD BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ON FRIDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED FROM A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS SHOULD BE SPREADING ACROSS WESTERN
CUBA TODAY PRIMARILY ALONG THE NORTH COAST. WINDS COULD BEGIN TO
INCREASE OVER THE LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS LATE TODAY.
RAINFALL...PAULA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF
10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH PAULA. THESE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 1 INCH ARE POSSSIBLE FOR THE FLORIDA
KEYS.
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW OVER THE NORTH COAST OF EXTREME WESTERN CUBA.
THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM EDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
Old Tropical Cyclone Update (TCU) format
000
WTNT61 KNHC 062308
TCUAT1
HURRICANE TOMAS TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
715 PM AST SAT NOV 06 2010
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATES THAT TOMAS HAS REGAINED
HURRICANE STRENGTH...
SHORTLY BEFORE 700 PM AST...2300 UTC...A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATED THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN
TOMAS HAVE INCREASED TO 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...MAKING TOMAS A
HURRICANE AGAIN. DETAILS WILL FOLLOW IN A SPECIAL ADVISORY TO BE
ISSUED BY 800 PM AST...0000 UTC.
SUMMARY OF 715 PM AST...2315 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.8N 69.8W
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM NNE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...25 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.11 INCHES
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BROWN
New Tropical Cyclone Update (TCU) format
000
WTNT61 KNHC 062308
TCUAT1
HURRICANE TOMAS TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212010
715 PM AST SAT NOV 06 2010
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATES THAT TOMAS HAS REGAINED
HURRICANE STRENGTH...
SHORTLY BEFORE 700 PM AST...2300 UTC...A NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATED THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS IN
TOMAS HAVE INCREASED TO 75 MPH...120 KM/H...MAKING TOMAS A
HURRICANE AGAIN. DETAILS WILL FOLLOW IN A SPECIAL ADVISORY TO BE
ISSUED BY 800 PM AST...0000 UTC.
SUMMARY OF 715 PM AST...2315 UTC...INFORMATION
--------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.8N 69.8W
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM NNE OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...25 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.11 INCHES
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/BROWN
Old Wind Speed Probabilities (PWS) format
000
FONT15 KNHC 240253
PWSAT5
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010
0300 UTC FRI SEP 24 2010
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 1 4 9 18 25 31
TROP DEPRESSION 3 6 15 16 12 15 13
TROPICAL STORM 90 51 59 47 48 39 33
HURRICANE 7 42 22 28 23 21 24
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 6 35 18 22 18 15 16
HUR CAT 2 X 5 2 5 4 5 6
HUR CAT 3 1 1 1 2 1 2 2
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X 1
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50KT 65KT 60KT 65KT 50KT 40KT 35KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 5(17)
FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) 5(21)
MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
MERIDA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 5(20) 4(24)
COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
BELIZE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 21(44) 4(48) 3(51)
BELIZE 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 3(18) 1(19)
BELIZE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 12(23) 5(28) 2(30)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
GUANAJA 34 X 4( 4) 26(30) 21(51) 6(57) 1(58) 1(59)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 14(23) 4(27) 1(28) 1(29)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 1 23(24) 8(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) 1(34)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN ANDRES 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 2( 8)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
New Wind Speed Probabilities (PWS) format
000
FONT15 KNHC 240253
PWSAT5
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152010
0300 UTC FRI SEP 24 2010
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X 1 4 9 18 25 31
TROP DEPRESSION 3 6 15 16 12 15 13
TROPICAL STORM 90 51 59 47 48 39 33
HURRICANE 7 42 22 28 23 21 24
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 6 35 18 22 18 15 16
HUR CAT 2 X 5 2 5 4 5 6
HUR CAT 3 1 1 1 2 1 2 2
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X 1
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 50KT 65KT 60KT 65KT 50KT 40KT 35KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 5(17)
FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 6(16) 5(21)
MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
MERIDA MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 9(15) 5(20) 4(24)
COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6)
COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
BELIZE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) 21(44) 4(48) 3(51)
BELIZE 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 3(18) 1(19)
BELIZE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6)
PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 9(11) 12(23) 5(28) 2(30)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9)
PUERTO BARRIOS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
GUANAJA 34 X 4( 4) 26(30) 21(51) 6(57) 1(58) 1(59)
GUANAJA 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 14(23) 4(27) 1(28) 1(29)
GUANAJA 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 1 23(24) 8(32) 1(33) X(33) X(33) 1(34)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
PUERTO CABEZAS 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SAN ANDRES 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) 3(10)
ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5)
GRAND CAYMAN 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 2( 8)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
|
